Harvest forecast - June 2015
Harvests of cereals and rape will be good; yields will not surpass the last year record production
Pursuant to the first estimates of this year harvest as at 20 June 2015 it is supposed that the production of basic cereals is to reach an amount of 6 815 thous. tonnes of grain and the production of rape is to be 1 202 thous. tonnes. The production of basic cereals will be down by 1 120 thous. tonnes (- 14.1%) and the production of rape is expected to be lower by 335 thous. tonnes (- 21.8%), compared to the above average harvest of the last year.
The estimated production of basic cereals (excluding grain maize) in an amount of 6 815 thous. tonnes of grain is by 1 120 thous. tonnes (- 14.1%) lower than the last year above-average production. The year-on-year decrease in the production has been entirely caused by an expected decline in the per hectare yield to 5.23 t/ha (- 14.1%). A decrease in the per hectare yield, compared to the last year record one, is expected in all types of basic cereals, namely in winter barley and winter wheat. Areas under basic cereals remained on the same level as in the last year (0.0%). Significant drops in areas under crops were recorded for winter wheat, triticale, and rye, conversely, areas under crops of spring cereals expanded. This year estimated production of basic cereals is comparable to the five-year average as well as the ten-year one (+ 0.9% and + 1.3%, respectively).
Winter wheat remains the most widely spread crop on our country fields which is sown on one third of areas under crops (31.7%). Its estimated harvest is 4 391 thous. tonnes and that is by 832 thous. tonnes (- 15.9%) lower than the last year production. The decline in production is determined, first of all, by a decrease in the estimated per hectare yield by 14.7% to 5.64 t/ha, and also by a moderate reduction in its sowing area by 1.6% to 778 thous. hectares.
Areas under crop of spring wheat expanded to 52 thous. hectares (+ 14.1%) and although the estimated per hectare yield is to be lower at 4.37 t (− 9.9%) its assumed production is to grow by 2.7% to 226 thous. tonnes.
The expected production of spring barley is estimated in an amount of 1 245 thous. tonnes, it is by 131 thous. tonnes (- 9.5%) lower than the last year one. Its sowing area increased by 5.6% to 261 thous. hectares, year-on-year (y-o-y), while the assumed per hectare yield fell to 4.76 t/ha (- 14.4%).
This year expected production of winter barley is to be by 15.0% lower, y-o-y, at the level of 502 thous. tonnes. The decrease is caused by an assumed per hectare yield lower by 16.4% to 4.80 t/ha. Its sowing area slightly increased by 1.6% to 105 thous. hectares.
The assumed rye production at 102 thous. tonnes (- 21.0%) is by one fifth lower than the last year one. The rye sowing area has been reduced to 22 thous. hectares (- 12.6%) this year and is the smallest in the whole history of its monitoring. Its estimated per hectare yield is 4.64 t/ha
(- 9.6%) than the last year one.
The expected harvest of oat shall decrease by 1.8% to 149 thous. tonnes compared to that of 2014. The assumed average per hectare yield of 3.53 t/ha is by 1.9% lower and its sowing area of 42 thous. hectares (+ 0.3%) has almost unchanged compared to that of the last year.
The production of triticale in this year is estimated to 200 thous. tonnes (- 18.1%), y-o-y. The production decline is caused both by its sowing area reduced by 11.6% to 43 thous. hectares and by the estimated average per hectare yield lower by 7.4% to 4.66 t/ha.
This year farmers sown rape on 14.9% of the total areas under crops. Although its sowing area has been decreasing in the second consecutive year it still remains the second most widely cultivated crop next to winter wheat at present. Its sowing area of 366 thous. hectares fell by 5.9%, y-o-y, and its estimated per hectare yield of 3.28 t/ha is by 17.0% lower, y-o-y. The expected production of rape of 1 202 thous. tonnes by one fifth lower than the last year record-breaking one. The production will be by 335 thous. tonnes (- 21.8%) lower. Nevertheless, the estimated rape production is by 8.9% above the ten-year average yet when compared to the average for the five recent years it is by 2.7% lower due to a decline in the sowing area.
More detailed information on estimated per hectare yields and production of selected crops in the Czech Republic, as a whole and broken by region, are given in the following publication ‘Harvest Forecasts – Operative Report as at 20 June 2015’. Information on the area and structure of sowing areas is released in the publication of ‘Census of Sowing Areas - 2015’.
Notes:
Contact person: Jiří Hrbek, (+420) 274 052 331, e-mail: jiri.hrbek@czso.cz
Data source: the CZSO sample survey in businesses farming agricultural land
End of data collection: 22 June 2015
End of data processing: 10 July 2015
Following outcomes: Harvest Forecasts – Operative Report as at 20 June 2015
https://www.czso.cz/csu/czso/odhady-sklizne-operativni-zprava-k-2062015
Census of Sowing Areas - 2015
https://www.czso.cz/csu/czso/soupis-ploch-osevu-2015
Update procedure: Harvest Forecasts –July 2015; to be published on 13 August 2015
- year 2023 | September 2023 | July 2023 | June 2023
- year 2022 | September 2022 | July 2022 | June 2022
- year 2021 | September 2021 | July 2021 | June 2021
- year 2020 | September 2020 | July 2020 | June 2020
- year 2019 | September 2019 | July 2019 | June 2019
- year 2018 | September 2018 | July 2018 | June 2018
- year 2017 | September 2017 | July 2017 | June 2017
- year 2016 | September 2016 | July 2016 | June 2016
- year 2015 | September 2015 | July 2015 | June 2015
- year 2014 | September 2014 | July 2014 | June 2014
- year 2013 | September 2013 | July 2013 | June 2013
- year 2012 | September 2012 | July 2012 | June 2012
- year 2011 | September 2011 | July 2011 | June 2011
- year 2010 | September 2010 | July 2010 | June 2010
Published: 13.07.2015
The data are valid as of the release date of the publication.
Contact: Information Services Unit - Headquarters, tel.: +420 274 056 789, email: infoservis@czso.cz